Forex Trading Basics

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This program assumes you understand certain basics about
Forex trading, but to just be sure here is a brief review.
Currencies are traded in pairs, meaning that you are really trading
one currency for another. A simple way to understand this is to
consider what you do when you go on foreign vacations. If you
are an American (for example), and you plan to travel to another
country, say Canada, then you might take say $1, 000 USD to the
bank to change it for Canadian dollars. Let’s say the exchange
rate is 1.4000, then for your $1,000 USD they would give you
$1,400 CAD (ignore bank spreads/commissions). Now let’s say
you didn’t spend the money and upon coming home you decide to
change it back to USD currency. Now let’s say the exchange rate
is 1.3700 (a change of 300 pips that could happen in a week), so
your $1,400 CAD would convert back to $1,021.89 US (again,
ignore bank spreads/commissions). Therefore you just made
$21.89, a 2.19% increase in funds (not bad).
In the Forex market you could have simply traded the “Currency
Pair” called USD/CAD, first selling USD for CAD, and then later
buying back USD with the CAD you have. Basically, you are
trading one currency for the other.
Usually currencies are traded against the US dollar (USD), so you
may be trading the US dollar against the Euro (EUR), British
Pound (GBP), Swiss Franc (CHF), Japanese Yen (JPY),
Australian Dollar (AUD), New Zealand Dollar (NZD), and of
course Canadian Dollar (CAD). There are other currency pairs,
but you normally won’t be dealing with those.

When you are trading you are attempting to capture “PIPs” (Price
Interest Points), which is one/one-hundredth of a cent (for
dollars). You will notice that the exchange has two extra decimals
at the end. From our example above, there is a one-pip
difference between 1.4000 and 1.4001.
One pip may not seem like much, but when you are trading large
volumes of currency, say $100,000, then one pip times 100,000 is
equal to $10 (less on certain currency pairs). When you are
trading currencies the broker gives you typically a 100:1 ratio
meaning that to “control” one lot of $100,000 all you need is
$1,000 on margin.
Thus, as has been explained before, when you capture 20 pips
from this amazing trading system then that means you have just
earned $200.
Now, if you don’t have at least $2,000 to open a regular Forex
trading account, or can’t afford potential 10 pip losses, then you
may want to consider a “mini” account. Most online brokers offer
mini trading accounts that you can open for as little as $300. With
a mini account you are trading lot sizes one-tenth of a regular lot
(10,000 vs. 100,000), with risk being one-tenth as well as your
rewards one-tenth. Trading a mini account means that 1 pip
equals roughly $1. If this is the only way you can afford to start
trading then open a mini account. Remember, as your account
quickly grows you can trade multiple mini lots, and trading ten
mini lots is the same as trading one regular lot. You could open a
mini account with say $300 and experience 100% to 200% gains
in your first month, quickly building your account to be able to
trade larger lot sizes.

Please remember to exercise good equity management in all your
trades, never risking more than 2% of your margin account on any
single trade, however if you have a small mini account you may
bend this rule to 5%. For example, if you have $300 in your
account, 2% is $6, equal to 6 pips loss. Realistically you need to
be prepared to suffer 10 pip losses with this system, so obviously
your risk per trade has to be a bit higher than professional traders
would normally employ. Once you get your account to $600 or
more then definitely limit your risk to only 2% of your margin
account on any single trade. Don’t be greedy and you’ll survive a
few losses to continue your gains. Please don’t trade money you
can’t afford to loose.
If you need more explanations about any of the above then simply
surf the web a little, particularly looking at online Forex brokers
websites as there you should be able to learn more about the
basics of how currency pairs work, or enroll in a good Forex
training program to make sure you understand all this. I have
also included valuable bonus you can download from the
Resources website (see Appendix A) that gives you a lot of Forex
training, and should answer your questions (I’ve had over $10,000
worth of Forex training and can say with knowledge that the
resources I’ve provided you there will teach you everything you
need to know).
A couple more things before we continue with explaining this
amazing trading system. You should have the following three
things already set up. (1) An actual trading account with real
money in it, (2) a demo trading account with fake money in it, and
(3) access to charts. I would personally recommend opening up
an account with one of my recommended brokers (listed in the
Resources Section – see Appendix A), however any of the other
major brokers may do, or whatever favorite you have.

Trade is Not Executed

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Let’s say that you are receiving recommendations from MasterSwings or MrSwing
Lite and your trade is not executed on the day the order is placed. You can repeat
the process for up to 5 trading days. If the stock gaps up or down, wait the appropriate amount of time (30
minutes for a gap up and 5 minutes for a gap down) – determine the entry
and exit prices based on the current day’s prices. If the stock opens with 50 cents of yesterday’s close, the entry and exit prices
are based on the previous day’s prices.
The chart on the following page should make the trading rules clear.

After the Trade is Executed

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Once the trade is executed, the exit orders are placed. The profit order – a sell limit order is placed at a price that is 7% above the
entry price. The capital preservation order – a sell stop (stop limit) order is placed at
4% below the entry price OR 6 cents below the low of the day that was
used for the trade (whichever is higher) – for a stock that opened without a
gap the previous day sets the prices; for a stock that opened with a gap, the
price action before the day (high and low) sets the prices.

As with when to trade and how to enter, the following day’s activity depends on
whether the stock gaps up/down or not. If the stock price doesn’t gap up or down,
the stop loss is changed based on the previous day’s prices. If the stock gaps up or
down, the stop loss is changed based on the current day’s prices. Whether based
on the previous day’s prices or the current day’s prices, stop loss rule is the same. When the stock opens within 50 cents ($0.50) of the previous day’s
close – if 6 cents below the previous day’s low is higher than yesterday’s
stop loss, raise the stop loss to this new price. This is known as raising the
trailing stop, which further limits the downside risk. When the stock gaps up or down 50 cents or more – wait 30 minutes
for a gap down or 5 minutes for a gap up – if 6 cents below the today’s
low is higher than yesterday’s stop loss, raise the stop loss to this new
price.

Enter the Trade

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As with when to trade, how to enter depends on whether the stock gaps up/down
or not. Typically, the stock price doesn’t gap up or down and the entry price is
based on the previous day’s prices. When the stock gaps up or down, the entry price
is not based on the previous day’s prices, but on the current day’s prices. Whetherbased on the previous day’s prices or the current day’s prices, the entry rules are the
same. The most common occurrence – the stock opens within 50 cents
($0.50) of the previous day’s close – buy the stock the moment it trades
6 cents (1/16) above the previous day’s high. This can be accomplished by
using a buy stop order. This increases the likelihood that the price is moving
in the direction of the bullish (long) trade. Occasionally a stock gaps up or down 50 cents or more – buy the stock
the moment it trades 6 cents above the high of the new day. This would be
30 minutes after the market opens for a gap up or 5 minutes after the
market opens for a gap down.

Profit and Preserving Capital

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An important aspect of the Master Plan is setting a profit target and preserving
capital. The approach is fairly conservative – the profit target is approximately 7%
with a potential loss capped at 4%. The actual profit is likely to be more than 7%
while a loss is likely to be smaller than 4%. Here’s how it works. Once the target price is reached (7% above the entry price), half of the
shares are sold, locking in a 7% profit. The other shares remain invested to
benefit from any further increase in price. If the price moves against the trade, the maximum loss tolerated is 4%. This
preserves capital for future trades. Typically, more trades will produce a profit than a loss. The net result is
profit. The movement of the entire market is very powerful. When the market is
moving with your trades, a very high percentage of your trades will be
profitable. When the entire market is moving against your trade, a higher than expected
percentage of your trades will lose. The stop loss protects you from
excessive losses.

Swing Trading Patterns

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To begin with, we typically restrict our selections to stocks that are at least $12 in
price, having an average (20 day) daily volume of at least 500,000 shares. Since
market makers can more easily manipulate low price, low volume stocks, we stay
away from them.
For long swings we are interested in identifying stocks that are in an uptrend. One
of the indicators we use is a simple moving average (SMA). A moving average is
simply the average closing price for a particular number of days. It’s called a moving
average because on each new day, the current day’s price is added to the average
while the oldest price is dropped. We typically focus on three moving averages,
those based on 10 days, 20 days and 50 days. All moving averages smooth the
price movement and make it easier to identify trends. It is also significant to know
where today’s price is relative to the moving averages and whether the shorter time-
frame moving average is above or below the longer time-frame moving average.
Two indicators that a stock is in an uptrend are:

Today’s closing price is above both the 10-day and 20-day moving averages The 10-day moving average is above the 20-day moving average
When looking for a long swing, we would like to identify stocks that are
experiencing a brief decline (pullback). We can identify a 3-day pullback as follows. Today’s high price is lower than yesterday’s high Yesterday’s high is lower than the high the day before
We also use a technical indicator developed by Dr. Alexander Elder called the Force
Index. This index combines the magnitude of the price change with the direction of
the change and the trading volume. In order to confirm the relative force behind an
uptrend and a pullback, we use a 3-day moving average and a 13-day moving
average of the Force Index. The following conditions demonstrate that the bears
have been winning the short-term battle while bulls are dominating the longer
frame: The 3-day moving average of the Force Index is less than 0, and The 13-day moving average of the Force Index is greater than 0
Another technical indicator we like to use is the Directional Movement Index (DMI)
that was developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. It is used to determine whether a stock is
trending or not trending (i.e., moving sideways). In SwingTracker we provide the
two components of this indicator – the Positive Directional Index (+DI) and the
Negative Directional Index (-DI) – along with a 20-day moving average based on
these two measures (ADX). An uptrend is confirmed if … ADX is higher than 30 +DI is greater than –DI
Our most successful pattern recognition formulas are available to all visitors (free of
in the SwingLab section of the web site. You can
charge) at www.mrswing.com
copy the formulas into SwingTracker and scan all listed stocks at any time.. These
are the same formulas that provide the MasterSwings recommendations. The
formulas will be built into the next version of SwingTracker.

Master Plan

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The Master Plan is a set of rules that determines when to enter and exit a trade. At
first, it might seem a little complicated, but once you have place a few trades using
the system, you’ll realize it’s really quite simple. The best part about the Master
Plan is that you don’t need to use judgment. The rules are mechanical. Two
obstacles to successful trading are the human emotions of fear and greed. By
following the Master Plan, these emotions will not influence your behavior, nor will
they interfere with your success.
To keep it simple, we’ll first focus on the long trade. The rules for a short trade are
simply the mirror image of the rules for a long trade. An example of a long swing
opportunity is shown below. The price has declined (pulled back) and you are bullish
on the stock.

Risk Statement

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HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS,
SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE
THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES
SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE
ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING
PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE
RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF
HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE
FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY
ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR
EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR
TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH
CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE
NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO
THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE
FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL
PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL
TRADING RESULTS.” TRADING IN COMMODITY FUTURES OR OPTIONS INVOLVES
SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS.

THIS RISK STATEMENT APPLIES TO ANY ILLUSTRATION OF PROFIT AND
LOSS CONTAINED WITHIN THIS PUBLICATION. IT SHOULD ALSO BE NOTED THAT
STOP LOSS ORDERS DO NOT NECESSARILY LIMIT LOSSES OR LOCK IN PROFITS.
DEPENDING UPON MARKET CONDITIONS, STOP LOSS ORDERS MAY BE
EXECUTED AT PRICES SUBSTANTIALLY BELOW OR ABOVE THE SPECIFIED STOP
PRICE.

Large Block Index

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The Large Block Index is calculated from the number of upticks and downticks in
large block transactions of single trades of 10 000 shares and over. An uptick is at a price
higher than the last previous trade and initiated by a buyer. A downtick is at a price lower
than the previous trade and initiated by a seller. The rationale behind the Large Block Index
is quite simple. It measures activities and extremes in institutional sentiment and behavior.
When the ratio of upticks rises to very high levels, it indicates that the institutions are buying
heavily, reaching a fully invested position and therefore lowering their cash reserves.
Conversely, when the ratio of downticks rises to high levels, it indicates that the
institutions are selling and are raising cash. When the institutional behaviour reaches
extremes, the market will turn in a contrary direction. This indicator has often signaled major
reversals and has also prevented investors from plunging into the market at the wrong time.
The chart below shows you this indicator on a 10-day moving average.

Short Term Trading Index

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The Short Term Trading Index was invented over 30 years ago by Richard Arms and
is also known as ARMS Index. It is calculated by dividing advancing issues by declining
issues and advancing volume by declining volume. The first result is then divided by the
latter and the result is the TRIN. If the index is above one, the average volume of stocks
that fell on the NYSE was greater than the average volume of stocks that rose and vice
versa. But it is most confirmative when it reaches extremes. This indicator rises sharply
when the market is most depressed and selling is climaxing, and falls to very low levels
during buying frenzies.

Does It Work

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Hector Trader Forex Training Program for Profits

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If your truly serious about become a very lucrative investor in the FX markets and are looking for a way to do it then Hector Trader Forex training program should be at the top of your list when considering what to learn first. If you have not heard of “Trend Trading for Profits,” you will certainly hear of it as you continue to research the currency markets.

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Foreign Currency Exchange Market

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The Foreign Exchange market (Forex) is truly the largest exchange in the world. The amount of dollars traded on the Forex market on a daily basis is in the trillions. Most of this currency trading takes place between between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, multinational corporations, governments, and other financial markets and institutions. However, individual traders are starting to get in the mix, using internet discount brokers such as Etrade to participate in the currency exchange market.

There is no central exchange or meeting place for the Forex. All trading is done over computer networks between traders in different parts of the world. Also, unlike the stock market, the foreign exchange market is open 24 hours per day, because it is a global market. A trader in Hong Kong may be exchanging currency with a trader in Australia while an American trader is sleeping.

There are several different markets within the Forex exchange system. First, there is the spot market. The spot market deals with trades that are based on the current values of currencies. One person trades a certain amount of currency with another trader in exchange for an equivalent amount of a different foreign currency. Spot trades take two days for settlement.

The other two types of foreign exchange markets are the forward and futures markets. In the forward market, the buyer and seller agree on an exchange rate and a transaction date is set for a specific time in the future, at which point the trade is executed regardless of what the rates are at that time. On the futures market, futures contracts are bought and sold based upon a standard contract size and maturity date. Futures trades take place on public commodities markets.

A currency quote is listed differently from a stock quote. Stocks are quoted in terms of price per share. Currency exchange prices are listed as either a direct quote or an indirect quote. A direct quote uses the domestic currency as the base and the foreign currency as the quote. An indirect quote works the exact opposite way.

So, if you were to view a quote in an American newspaper that said USD/JPY = 75, that would be a direct quote and would mean that $1 of U.S. currency is equal to 75 Japanese yen. If that same quote appeared in that same American newspaper and was listed as JPY/USD = 0.013, that would be an example of an indirect quote.

As with stock prices, currency exchange prices have a bid and ask spread. The current bid is the amount of foreign currency that someone is willing to spend in order to buy $1 U.S. base currency. The ask is the amount of foreign currency that someone is demanding in order to be willing to sell $1 U.S. base currency.

The Forex markets are generally considered to be less volatile than then stock market because within the course of a trading day, it is highly unlikely for the value of a single currency to move all that much. With equities, it is not uncommon for a trader to buy a stock, and then a negative press release causes the stock to lose considerable value within a day or even a couple of hours. Sometimes, however, the Forex can be volatile. If there is a significant economic or political development with a certain country, the currency of that country can lose value quickly.

There is a higher degree of liquidity on the currency exchange then there is on the stock exchange because the currency exchange is open 24 hours per day and because the very nature of currency exchange is to bet on when certain currencies will go up or down; so, it is easy to sell your position in a certain currency even when the value of that money is going down. A plummeting stock is more difficult to unload, but not impossible.

If you want to begin currency tranding, try to set aside some money and open an account with an online broker. Start slowly, then as you get the hang of it, work your way up to larger trades and higher volume. However, do not gamble your nest egg on currency trading because inexperienced traders can lose everything they have rather quickly in spite of the relative safety of the Forex market.

Dollar Currency Exchange Market

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There is no central exchange or meeting place for the Forex. All trading is done over computer networks between traders in different parts of the world. Also, unlike the stock market, the foreign exchange market is open 24 hours per day, because it is a global market. A trader in Hong Kong may be exchanging currency with a trader in Australia while an American trader is sleeping.

There are several different markets within the Forex exchange system. First, there is the spot market. The spot market deals with trades that are based on the current values of currencies. One person trades a certain amount of currency with another trader in exchange for an equivalent amount of a different foreign currency. Spot trades take two days for settlement.

The other two types of foreign exchange markets are the forward and futures markets. In the forward market, the buyer and seller agree on an exchange rate and a transaction date is set for a specific time in the future, at which point the trade is executed regardless of what the rates are at that time. On the futures market, futures contracts are bought and sold based upon a standard contract size and maturity date. Futures trades take place on public commodities markets.

A currency quote is listed differently from a stock quote. Stocks are quoted in terms of price per share. Currency exchange prices are listed as either a direct quote or an indirect quote. A direct quote uses the domestic currency as the base and the foreign currency as the quote. An indirect quote works the exact opposite way.

So, if you were to view a quote in an American newspaper that said USD/JPY = 75, that would be a direct quote and would mean that $1 of U.S. currency is equal to 75 Japanese yen. If that same quote appeared in that same American newspaper and was listed as JPY/USD = 0.013, that would be an example of an indirect quote.

As with stock prices, currency exchange prices have a bid and ask spread. The current bid is the amount of foreign currency that someone is willing to spend in order to buy $1 U.S. base currency. The ask is the amount of foreign currency that someone is demanding in order to be willing to sell $1 U.S. base currency.

The Forex markets are generally considered to be less volatile than then stock market because within the course of a trading day, it is highly unlikely for the value of a single currency to move all that much. With equities, it is not uncommon for a trader to buy a stock, and then a negative press release causes the stock to lose considerable value within a day or even a couple of hours. Sometimes, however, the Forex can be volatile. If there is a significant economic or political development with a certain country, the currency of that country can lose value quickly.

There is a higher degree of liquidity on the currency exchange then there is on the stock exchange because the currency exchange is open 24 hours per day and because the very nature of currency exchange is to bet on when certain currencies will go up or down; so, it is easy to sell your position in a certain currency even when the value of that money is going down. A plummeting stock is more difficult to unload, but not impossible.

When Selling Your Stock

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There’s another side to look at. It’s not all about buying. It’s not all about knowing where the entry is and when you should get in. Trading well doesn’t just come down to some timing indicators that tell you when to get long. To make money in this game, you’ve got to sell, and you’ve got to do it at the right time.

When it comes to selling, knowing your exit ahead of time is half of the battle. Trading according to a plan will take you miles beyond the results you see if you trade on whims. Is this a momentum trade? Is this a swing trading candidate? Is this a trend trade with a trailing stop, or am I looking for a particular number to be reached before I sell? These are the kinds of questions to ask going into the trade.

Once you’re in the trade, there are a number of reasons to sell your stock:

The most common time to sell out all of your stock is when you’re just plain wrong. You’ll know when you’re wrong, because your P&L will tell you so, every minute, tick by tick, dollar for dollar. When your stop-loss gets triggered, sell out! Be disciplined and pull the trigger when the time comes to do so, or else set an automatic stop-loss order through your broker.

Selling in the face of a stagnating market is also wise. Perhaps you caught a nice move but the trend has since stalled out. Your stock hasn’t yet rolled over, but it’s not going higher anymore either. Reducing your exposure and freeing up cash in a market that isn’t moving means less risk to you. You will then have cash on hand to put into new trades, whether for new buys or for short selling stocks if the market weakens.

When your profit objective has been met, do some selling. Making sales after an advance to the area you planned to see is simply good trading discipline. Sell all of your stock if it is now facing overhead resistance, because you can always re-buy if and when the stock clears resistance and breaks out. There’s just no reason to own a stock in an area where the sellers clearly have had an advantage.

You don’t have to sell it all at once! Many traders think they are either in or out of a trade. They look at it like it’s an all-or-nothing type of thing, and it doesn’t have to be that way. In fact, in many cases, it shouldn’t be that way. If you are following a trend, it’s often wise to make partial sales along the way. This books incremental profits, while freeing up cash for other trading ideas. It also helps to satisfy that urge to sell that so many of us fight. Selling off stock in pieces as the trade shows you a profit is a good way to manage money AND emotions.

When you plan your next trade, consider where you will want to sell and where you’ll need to sell. Whether it’s on the profit or loss side, know your exit!

Forex Trading in Success

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What I learned from stock trading and transferred across to forex trading was you HAVE to be selective in your trading. You have to realise most trades are trying to lure you into losing money. You need to do one of two things when it comes to trading in any time frame and any markets:

You a win with a less than 50% correct system IF you set your-self up to snag some really big winners in the process. This is what trend following does. It kind of says I might only be right 40% of the time. But I cut my losses fast and let the winners ride and I occasionally snag a huge winner. So if your looses are at say 15%, your average winner is 25% but you get the odd 70%+ winner you have a great winning system.

It’s a system that many people do not like. Why? Because most people prefer high % winning trades, the need to be right rather than letting a few big winners make the most of their gains. It’s human nature. A Dr. doesn’t get paid to be right 40% of the time….nor would we expect it. Imagine getting on a plane flight and being told your pilot is only “right” 40% of the time. “Get me off now” LOL

So the other way to make money in trading is to go for systems that have a higher degree of accuracy but a lower win/loss ratio. So you have a system that wins 70% of the time but when it wins you make $1. When it loses you lose $1. Still a great system. I mean if you could trade such a system would you do it? Of course you would? Are you going to have losers? YES. I said it was 70% winning. So it loses almost 1/3 of the time it trades. But you know the odds are over time you will come out ahead with such a system.

70% win ration is about as good as systems get. There are many “vendors” (criminals) who say their system is 90%, 99% accurate which technically might even be correct but in order to get such high % winners what they leave out is the fact that to get such ridiculous % of winners their win/loss ratio is reversed. In other words when you win you win tiny. When you lose you lose much larger. They know many amateur/new traders are after high % winning trading systems so they oblige but it’s not the way to trade professionally.